Analysis

What are prediction markets and how do they work?

An introduction to prediction markets: how a market mechanism aggregates information held by many people and turns it into a probability.

12 August 2026 · 7 min read · Author: LPMI

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Forecasting

A poll measures opinion, a prediction market measures probability. Why this distinction matters when assessing future events.

12 August 2026 · 7 min read

Regulation

A regulatory perspective: the legal and institutional conditions required for prediction markets in Lithuania and the Baltic region.

28 July 2026 · 8 min read