Analysis
What are prediction markets and how do they work?
An introduction to prediction markets: how a market mechanism aggregates information held by many people and turns it into a probability.
12 August 2026 · 7 min read
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Publications
Analyses, research insights and the most important developments in prediction markets and the forecasting industry in Lithuania, the Baltic region and worldwide.
Forecasting
Prediction markets and polls: how do they differ?
A poll measures opinion, a prediction market measures probability. Why this distinction matters when assessing future events.
12 August 2026 · 7 min read
Read →Regulation
Could prediction markets work in Lithuania?
A regulatory perspective: the legal and institutional conditions required for prediction markets in Lithuania and the Baltic region.
28 July 2026 · 8 min read
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